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See this post for my previous thoughts on this trade. The options markets were pricing-in a move of roughly $33.68 (6%) which seemed justifiable. The straddle pricing in Apple (AAPL) has over-priced the move 75% of the time during the last 8 quarters so I felt comfortable selling the vol using this range.

AAPLepsIC Apple (AAPL) 2012 Q1 Earnings TradeAAPL April Weekly iron condor 510/515/610/615

AAPLepsICriskprofile Apple (AAPL) 2012 Q1 Earnings TradeI decided to go a little further out than the move that was being priced-in because I am willing to give up a few dollars for a wider range. As you can see, the wider range paid off because Apple is trading right near the expected move after hours.

AAPLepsICchart Apple (AAPL) 2012 Q1 Earnings TradeDepending on the vol crush we see tomorrow, I may take off the entire trade or may simply leave the short call spreads on weakness.

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