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"Earnings Trade"
Today I entered an earnings trade on Las Vegas Sands (LVS). Below is the timestamped (PDT) tweet of my trade:
The last 4 quarters have seen moves in the -7.7% to +8.9% range while the options market was currently pricing-in about a 5.8% move. The options market has under-priced the move [...]
Closed my Baidu (BIDU) earnings trade this morning at a total price of $3.82, an overnight return of 20.5% per spread. See here for my entry. Below is the timestamped (PDT) tweet of my exit:
The move on earnings was more than was priced-in but luckily I structured a [...]
See this post for my previous thoughts on this trade. The options markets were pricing-in a move of roughly $33.68 (6%) which seemed justifiable. The straddle pricing in Apple (AAPL) has over-priced the move 75% of the time during the last 8 quarters so I felt comfortable selling the vol using this range.
[...]
See this post for my previous insight on this trade. Below is the timestamped tweet of the position I entered for as an earnings trade for BIDU:
April Weekly/May 120/125 Put Diagonal ($0.53), 145/150 Call Diagonal ($0.69), and 135 Call Calendar ($1.95) at a total price of $3.17 per position. [...]
Here’s a couple of long, a short, and a couple earnings trade ideas for this week:
Under Armour (UA) recently reported earnings that the market liked. This stock has been steadily trending higher and just broke-out of a trading range. I like this name long but I want theta on my side [...]
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